Which Future Will We Choose?

At the UN Climate Conference in November, decisions by world leaders will set a path for Split’s ultimate sea level.

Diocletian's Palace, Split, Croatia

HRV__0__Split__Diocletians_Palace__L13__3p0C.jpg
If we keep our current carbon path
(3°C global warming)
3°C warming
Image © 2021 Maxar Technologies
HRV__0__Split__Diocletians_Palace__L13__1p5C.jpg
If we sharply cut carbon pollution
(1.5°C global warming)
1.5°C warming
Image © 2021 Maxar Technologies
Present-day sea level1.1°C1.5°C2°C3°C4°C

These images show projected future sea levels at Diocletian's Palace in Split, Croatia due to human-caused global warming under two different scenarios. Climate and energy choices in the coming few decades could set the destination, but the timing of rise is more difficult to project: these sea levels may take hundreds of years to be fully realized.